Anthony Truong ‘Are US banks REALLY profitable?’ – Commentary – 22 April 2009

Various US banks, including Bank of America, Citigroup and Goldman Sachs, have recently released ‘better than expected’ quarterly results, causing some commentators to claim that the banking crisis is over, and that perhaps TARP wasn’t needed in the first place to save the financial system.
What’s interesting about these quarterly results isn’t so much the numbers [...]


‘It’s been a long time coming…’ – Market Update – US Equities, Gold & Silver, EUR/USD – 25 April 2008
comment No Comments Written by Anthony Truong on April 25, 2008 – 8:41 pm

In this update, I’ll let the charts do MOST of the talking. They speak a thousand words…or dollars, depending if you trade these markets.

Note that I haven’t labelled the silver 5 min chart; there are so many potential counts at the moment that are all valid, so I will wait for further market action before I apply some labels. However, needless to say, silver, like gold and the EURUSD are in bear markets, and will continue lower in the intermediate to long term.

Spot Silver Daily Chart

Spot Silver Daily Chart

Spot Silver 5 min Chart

Spot Silver 5 min Chart

With gold and the EURUSD, the labels represent my primary count, but there are strong cases for alternates, so we’ll see what happens in tonight’s trade.

Spot Gold Hourly Chart

Spot Gold Hourly Chart

Spot Gold 5 min Chart

Spot Gold 5 min Chart

EUR/USD Hourly Chart

EUR/USD Hourly Chart

EUR/USD 5 min Chart

EUR/USD 5 min Chart

In equities, Dow is tracing a better looking final wave up in a very complex W-X-Y correction, than the S&P500. I’m following a 1-2, 1-2 (with the latter 2 containing the W-X-Y combination) count, due to recent market movements. Fed meeting on Monday is ominous; all major US indices look set to form a final top either tonight or on Monday before the Fed releases its rate decision. Wave 3 of 3 should be unrelenting and take us to levels not seen in years.

“Sell in May and go away”? I highly recommend adhering to this adage.

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